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<article article-type="abstract" dtd-version="1.0" xml:lang="en" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">CC</journal-id>
<journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Cardiol Croat</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Cardiologia Croatica</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="pubmed">Cardiol. Croat.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="ppub">1848-543X</issn>
<issn pub-type="epub">1848-5448</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Croatian Cardiac Society</publisher-name></publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">CC 2024 19_11-12_504</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15836/ccar2024.504</article-id>
<article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Extended Abstract</subject></subj-group>
<subj-group subj-group-type="subheading"><subject>Cardiovascular prevention and rehabilitation</subject></subj-group>
</article-categories>
<title-group>
<article-title>The prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Croatia &#x2013; from the past to the future</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6502-683X</contrib-id><name><surname>Falak</surname><given-names>Hrvoje</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref><xref ref-type="corresp" rid="cor1">*</xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9912-2179</contrib-id><name><surname>Udovi&#x010D;i&#x0107;</surname><given-names>Mario</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8298-7974</contrib-id><name><surname>Grizelj</surname><given-names>Danijela</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7005-0500</contrib-id><name><surname>Car</surname><given-names>Mate</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"><sup>2</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2384-273X</contrib-id><name><surname>Samara</surname><given-names>Mariam</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"><sup>3</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5610-6259</contrib-id><name><surname>Jordan</surname><given-names>Ana</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6931-5404</contrib-id><name><surname>Ivanovi&#x0107; Mihajlovi&#x0107;</surname><given-names>Vanja</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6983-1409</contrib-id><name><surname>Vitlov</surname><given-names>Petra</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9473-2517</contrib-id><name><surname>Rudan</surname><given-names>Diana</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6444-2674</contrib-id><name><surname>Manola</surname><given-names>&#x0160;ime</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"><sup>1</sup></xref></contrib>
<aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Dubrava University Hospital</institution>, <addr-line>Zagreb</addr-line>, <country country="hr">Croatia</country></aff>
<aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Catholic University of Croatia</institution>, <addr-line>Zagreb</addr-line>, <country country="hr">Croatia</country></aff>
<aff id="aff3"><label>3</label><institution>University Hospital &#x201C;Sveti Duh&#x201D;</institution>, <addr-line>Zagreb</addr-line>, <country country="hr">Croatia</country></aff>
</contrib-group>
<author-notes>
<corresp id="cor1"><label>*</label>ADDRESS FOR CORRESPONDENCE: Hrvoje Falak, Klini&#x010D;ka bolnica Dubrava, Avenija Gojka &#x0160;u&#x0161;ka 6, HR-10000 Zagreb, Croatia. / Phone: +385-99-8181-818 / E-mail: <email xlink:href="hrvoje.falak@gmail.com">hrvoje.falak@gmail.com</email></corresp></author-notes>
<pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="electronic"><month>11</month><year>2024</year></pub-date>
<pub-date date-type="pub" publication-format="print"><month>11</month><year>2024</year></pub-date>
<volume>19</volume>
<issue>11-12</issue>
<fpage>504</fpage>
<lpage>504</lpage>
<history>
<date date-type="received"><day>13</day><month>10</month><year>2024</year></date>
<date><day>31</day><month>10</month><year>2024</year></date>
</history>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Croatian Cardiac Society</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2024</copyright-year>
<copyright-holder>Croatian Cardiac Society</copyright-holder>
</permissions>
<kwd-group kwd-group-type="author"><title>KEYWORDS: </title><kwd>atrial fibrillation</kwd><kwd>prevalence</kwd><kwd>health planning</kwd></kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body>
<p><bold>Introduction:</bold> Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in the general population and represents a significant public health problem worldwide leading to an increased risk of stroke, heart failure, dementia, and mortality (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r1"><italic>1</italic></xref>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r2"><italic>2</italic></xref>).</p>
<p><bold>Patients and Methods</bold>: Using the hospital information system, we exported data as spreadsheets from the inpatient lists, protocol books, and a list of e-diagnoses based on ICD-10 classification for the 10-year period from 2007 to 2016 using information reporting options. We then integrated all these datasets into a single database, filtering only patients who were alive in January 2017 and residing in the service area of our hospital. AF patients were identified and regional age-and gender-specific prevalence was established using regional census data from the 2011. For long-term projections, we calculated expected numbers and prevalence rates of AF for Croatia in 2061, assuming a constant prevalence in specific age and gender groups. Population projections were based on estimations from the Croatian Bureau of Statistics, using assumptions of low fertility and low immigration levels (<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="r3"><italic>3</italic></xref>).</p>
<p><bold>Results:</bold> According to our data, regional AF prevalence on January 1, 2017 was 2.0%. Based on population estimate and regional age-and gender-specific prevalence rates, AF prevalence for Croatia in 2061 is projected to be 4.72% (5.69% for men and 3.79 for women) (<xref ref-type="fig" rid="f1"><bold>Figure 1</bold></xref>).</p>
<fig id="f1" position="float" fig-type="figure"><label>FIGURE 1</label><caption><p>Estimated prevalence of atrial fibrillation in Croatia in 2061.</p></caption><graphic xlink:href="CC202419_11-12_504-f1"></graphic></fig>
<p><bold>Conclusion:</bold> This epidemiological study demonstrates increasing trends in AF prevalence. The data should highlight the importance of risk mitigation, healthcare planning, and cost management.</p>
</body>
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<title>LITERATURE</title>
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</article>
